Waiting for Spain's tourist boom: why getting on the UK green list is key

The UK confirmed on Thursday that Spain continues out of his green list of safe destinations that the British can visit without being quarantined for ten days upon return. A setback for the awakening of the season, especially after the British media had speculated about the possibility that the Balearic and Canary Islands would enter the green zone. The departure from Spain of the amber color will be key for the summer season to emerge.

The tourism sector in Spain is hopeful with the forecasts for this summer period, boosted by the good rate of vaccination and the positive evolution of the pandemic. Thus, a growth in mobility is expected compared to last year by national tourists. However, the arrival of international tourists, such as the British, will be essential. For this, it is essential that Spain enters the green list of the United Kingdom.

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) analyzed last May what effect its entry into the UK green list had on European destinations. The graph distributed by the organization shows the abrupt growth of reserves in Portugal, Iceland or Gibraltar after their departure from the amber zone. “These countries after the announcement increased significantly, 40% above pre-crisis volumes,” says the IATA note. “The sharp increase in summer travel bookings after the UK announcement illustrates that there is pent-up demand for travel,” he adds.

When will Spain leave the UK amber list

The IATA study also reflects that bookings to amber list countries stagnated 80% below pre-crisis levels after the announcement. Thus, it is essential to enter the green zone. However, that is not going to happen -if it happens- until 15 days from now, when the British Government is expected to make a new update of the list.

A key indicator for entering the green zone is the cumulative incidence, which should be equal to or less than that of the United Kingdom. In fact, Portugal, with a cumulative incidence of 67,89, has jumped from the green list to the amber one because the UK It is 63,01 cases per 100,000 inhabitants.

At the moment, Spain is in a cumulative incidence of 118 cases, still far from the UK. However, the Minister of Health, Carolina Darias, explained this Friday, in an interview with the Chain Ser, that the objective of all health authorities is for Spain to reach a cumulative incidence of 50 cases per 100,000 inhabitants as soon as possible.

As long as that does not happen, there is still speculation that Balearic and Canary Islands, two of the favorite Spanish destinations of the British, enter the next update of the green list. Currently, the Mediterranean archipelago has a cumulative incidence of 40 cases, while the canary adds 70. Another region that receives many British people is the Valencian Community, led by Benidorm, and has an incidence of 36 cases per 100,000 inhabitants.

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